No clear winner between the New Popular Ecological and Social Union (Nupes) and the presidential coalition, for the moment. The Nupes Left Union and the Presidential Coalition Together! are tied on the evening of the first round of the legislative elections, Sunday June 12, against a backdrop of record abstention, thus opening the game of the second round in a week.

Nupes totals 25.2% of the votes, as does the presidential coalition (25.2%). According to the first Ipsos-Sopra Steria estimates for France Télévisions, Radio France, France 24-RFI-MCD and LCP-National Assembly, the RN would come third (18.9%), LR-UDI-DVD fourth (13.7%) and Reclaim! fifth (3.9%).

The key to the second round will once again lie in the participation, historically low on Sunday June 12 for a first round of legislative elections, at 52.3%. Abstention in legislative elections has only increased since 1993, rising from 31% that year to 51.3% in 2017. It is highest among young people and working classes.

Participation in the first round of the legislative elections reached 39.42% on Sunday at 5 p.m. in mainland France, according to the Ministry of the Interior, a figure down 1.3 points compared to 2017, when it stood at 40, 75%. It is also much lower, at the same time, than that of the 2012 legislative elections (48.31%), as well as the participation in the first round of the 2022 presidential election (65%).

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